This is an inter-service body, under a naval chairman, and holds its first meeting in the Admiralty. The committee is one of several intelligence agencies and will scrutinise all evidence available in London which might seem to have a bearing on the enemy's intentions. It was one of several intelligence agencies that advised the Chiefs of Staff via daily direct reports.
It is known that young German male tourists have been staying in Galicia. Some of them have uniforms with them and this is known to the police, who do not interfere. It is considered unlikely that an expedition will be organised in this manner but the situation will be watched.
Plans for the mounting of long-range guns in the Calais-Boulogne area which may be used to cover a landing in the Dover area are unlikely.
German Military Attaché outlines to a senior Turkish staff officer the German plan for Seelöwe which was an accurate forecast of the form that it finally took.
IWSC assessment is: "Presents no new features."
It lays, correctly, emphasis on the use of long-range artillery and minefields to cover the crossing of the Channel in its narrowest part.
The committee recommended that a sharp look-out be kept for these guns
No serious threat of invasion yet exists from the Netherlands, French or south-west Norwegian ports. This is evidenced by the lack of shipping concentrations on these coasts.
Photos of Kiel and Emden show 40-50 merchant ships at Kiel and 350 large motor launches at Emden.
The committee agrees that this was a "new and unusual feature". Both concentrations might have significance; but the merchant ships at Kiel were possibly held up there by "suspected mining or other temporary restrictions", while the 350 possible invasion-craft at Emden "some simple explanation in connection with canal or other water traffic may be the reason.
- Ostend (50 since 31 August)
- Terneuzen (140 since 16 August)
- South end of the Beveland Canal (90 since 1 September)
Ghent is important for (a) iron and steel; (b) textiles; (c) oil fuel storage. Probably barges are going south … to fetch these valuable products. … But movements preliminary to invasion are not impossible. The increase in barges at Ostend is abnormal, but might be accounted for by the removal of obstructions in the canal system.
Army leave is stopped from time to time without special incident.
There is little evidence other than the movement of small craft towards the Channel ports to show that preparations for invasion of the U.K. are more advanced than they have been for some time. … If there is an intention to invade the expedition is [probably] being held in readiness in the Baltic or Hamburg.
They continue to expect the main expedition to come from Hamburg or the Baltic and have evolved the theory that the barge concentrations assembled were a decoy to divert British attention and bombers away from more recondite operation.